com.predictionmarketspicks/weather · v1.2.0 · location-and-travel
Weather Markets Edge Desk is healthy: it completed an MCP handshake in 1612 ms and exposes 7 tools.
Kalshi weather markets: daily-high board beside the NWS forecast, live edges, EV, Kelly, base rates.
Endpoint: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry (streamable-http)
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| Users (last 30 days) | 0 |
| Handshake | Healthy |
| Auth needed | None |
| Tool count | 7 |
| Latency | 1612 ms |
| Last checked (UTC) | 2026-10-15T23:25:10.367Z |
| Checked (UTC) | Status | Latency | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15T23:25:10.367Z | Healthy | 1612 | |
| 2026-10-14T21:15:50.704Z | Healthy | 3052 |
weather_board | Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it. Pass city ("nyc", "KXHIGHCHI"). Market data only. |
edge_alerts | Use for "any edge on Kalshi" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model probability, edge and link. Real time with Pro; free is delayed 24h without the thesis. One identical, impersonal feed for every |
convert_probability | Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds". |
base_rate_gap | Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue. |
bayes_update | Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posteri |
calculate_ev | Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read. |
kelly_size | Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what i |